This document was prepared as the result of work sponsored by the California Energy Commission. It does not necessarily represent the views of the Energy Commission, its employees, or the State of California. The Energy Commission, the State of California, its employees, contractors, and subcontractors make no warranty, express or implied, and assume no legal liability for the information in this document; nor does any party represent that the uses of this information will not infringe upon privately owned rights.
Counts produced by the California Air Resources Board's EMission FACtors (EMFAC) model for future years based on an estimated regulatory path for meeting California emission rules, not actual sales. It should be noted that in 2030 EMFAC EV counts are higher than the figures based on sales trends in the Medium scenario.
Projected Future EV sales based on trends from sales data over the previous 6 years
Projected Future EV sales based on sales data over the previous 6 years, using an accelerated growth curve